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Qual 1022023 Daly Division
Red184
207350.2
271355.7
32144.7
Blue180
928030.3
236367.4
546065.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14816850100200250184180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#11
55.72.8
50.4→53.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.4
End9.4
blue by 11.8
2363
#17
67.41.3
66.4→67.7
Auto14.6
Teleop41.7
End8.2
Second
2073
#28
50.22.8
50.7→53.5
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End6.7
blue by 15.3
5460
#6
65.51.3
62.2→63.5
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
Third
321
#39
44.72.8
41.9→44.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.4
End6.0
red by 14.4
9280
#72
30.31.3
29.5→30.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned