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Red169
387534.9
683847.2
113841.3
Blue156
20345.9
857530.5
151137.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122108050150200250169156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6838
#32
47.23.4
46.349.7
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End7.9
red by 1.2
203
#52
45.92.9
42.345.2
Auto13.5
Teleop25.9
End6.2
Second
1138
#30
41.33.4
36.439.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
red by 4.3
1511
#38
37.02.9
32.435.2
Auto10.5
Teleop21.1
End5.5
Third
3875
#77
34.93.4
29.933.3
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
red by 4.4
8575
#73
30.52.9
28.431.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed