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Red156
103847.6
420156.7
490760.7
Blue116
226449.1
339027.7
929338.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175112050150200250300156116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#35
60.70.1
58.958.8
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 11.6
2264
#61
49.10.2
48.348.6
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.1
Second
56.70.1
56.356.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
red by 18.0
9293
#56
38.70.2
38.538.7
Auto9.8
Teleop22.8
End6.2
Third
1038
#55
47.60.1
45.845.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.9
End7.3
red by 19.9
3390
#78
27.70.2
25.625.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned