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Red157
87058.8
490760.7
339027.7
Blue164
331466.8
715346.4
547266.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144193100250157164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#35
60.71.1
59.760.7
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
blue by 6.1
66.80.7
67.666.8
Auto15.3
Teleop42.5
End8.2
Second
870
#24
58.81.1
54.455.5
Auto14.6
Teleop34.4
End9.3
blue by 7.7
66.50.7
65.264.4
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
Third
3390
#78
27.71.1
26.727.7
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
blue by 18.6
7153
#43
46.40.7
47.146.4
Auto14.0
Teleop24.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned