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Red109
241252.4
521654.2
10038.5
Blue160
32144.7
303552.4
243845.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159153100120140180200109160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#18
54.22.6
56.854.2
Auto12.0
Teleop30.3
End10.2
red by 1.7
3035
#62
52.40.6
53.152.4
Auto10.2
Teleop31.3
End11.2
Second
2412
#23
52.42.6
55.052.4
Auto11.8
Teleop32.7
End6.3
red by 6.9
2438
#46
45.50.6
46.145.5
Auto11.5
Teleop25.8
End8.1
Third
100
#74
38.52.6
41.138.5
Auto12.8
Teleop17.9
End7.0
blue by 6.2
321
#39
44.70.6
45.444.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned