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Red190
331466.8
420660.1
546065.5
Blue133
540657.0
233337.7
20345.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18613150100150200250190133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.81.1
61.262.4
Auto15.3
Teleop42.5
End8.2
red by 9.8
5406
#40
57.00.2
54.154.3
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End8.2
Second
65.51.1
55.656.7
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
red by 19.6
203
#52
45.90.2
41.641.8
Auto13.5
Teleop25.9
End6.2
Third
60.11.1
51.953.1
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 22.3
2333
#65
37.70.2
35.335.5
Auto10.5
Teleop21.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed