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Red154
929338.7
69564.8
286928.1
Blue174
147756.8
243845.5
12567.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12316550100150200250154174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
64.82.2
61.463.6
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
blue by 3.1
125
#25
67.80.3
61.762.0
Auto17.4
Teleop37.7
End10.9
Second
9293
#56
38.72.2
33.435.6
Auto9.8
Teleop22.8
End6.2
blue by 18.1
1477
#41
56.80.3
53.353.5
Auto14.0
Teleop36.9
End4.4
Third
2869
#58
28.12.2
25.627.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End7.3
blue by 17.3
2438
#46
45.50.3
39.339.6
Auto11.5
Teleop25.8
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned