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Red163
69564.8
20345.9
364155.7
Blue138
608153.6
479558.0
288352.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163168120140180200220163138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
64.80.6
63.664.3
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
red by 6.7
4795
#15
58.01.6
53.752.1
Auto15.6
Teleop34.7
End7.7
Second
3641
#29
55.70.6
53.253.9
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End9.3
red by 2.2
6081
#10
53.61.6
52.350.8
Auto16.1
Teleop28.7
End8.0
Third
203
#52
45.90.6
41.842.5
Auto13.5
Teleop25.9
End6.2
blue by 6.7
2883
#47
52.61.6
51.950.3
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsMissed