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Red145
249136.2
364759.4
461357.0
Blue158
244529.2
427260.6
243845.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16012150100150200145158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#21
59.40.4
57.857.5
Auto16.7
Teleop35.0
End6.5
blue by 1.2
4272
#42
60.62.0
55.757.7
Auto15.6
Teleop36.0
End7.4
Second
4613
#31
57.00.4
59.158.8
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End6.9
red by 11.5
2438
#46
45.52.0
39.641.6
Auto11.5
Teleop25.8
End8.1
Third
2491
#44
36.20.4
29.629.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 7.0
2445
#71
29.22.0
22.924.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned