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Red150
490760.7
2052.5
422631.2
Blue160
14438.3
192247.3
23062.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14116450100200250300150160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#35
60.70.7
63.864.5
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
blue by 1.5
230
#22
62.20.6
65.866.4
Auto16.0
Teleop36.0
End8.1
Second
20
#19
52.50.7
49.149.8
Auto13.7
Teleop29.9
End8.7
red by 5.2
1922
#14
47.30.6
46.947.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End7.6
Third
4226
#60
31.20.7
22.523.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 7.2
144
#49
38.30.6
38.138.7
Auto11.4
Teleop22.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned