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Red129
540657.0
857530.5
259051.1
Blue144
236367.4
900037.8
286928.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141132100150200129144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#40
57.01.2
54.353.2
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End8.2
blue by 10.4
2363
#17
67.41.3
62.363.6
Auto14.6
Teleop41.7
End8.2
Second
2590
#48
51.11.2
48.547.3
Auto12.9
Teleop31.2
End6.5
red by 13.3
9000
#37
37.81.3
34.535.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.5
End9.5
Third
8575
#73
30.51.2
30.028.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End5.8
red by 2.3
2869
#58
28.11.3
27.829.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned