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Red126
341448.0
178151.8
352715.4
Blue111
103847.6
113841.3
308232.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11412480100140160126111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#20
51.80.5
47.848.3
Auto12.8
Teleop29.9
End8.4
red by 4.2
1038
#55
47.60.3
46.546.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.9
End7.3
Second
3414
#33
48.00.5
47.548.0
Auto14.0
Teleop26.5
End6.7
red by 6.7
1138
#30
41.30.3
32.231.9
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Third
3527
#76
15.40.5
13.213.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 17.5
3082
#68
32.80.3
36.736.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned