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Red167
392839.0
132571.7
420660.1
Blue140
913647.6
173170.0
32144.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17015650100200250300167140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#26
71.70.6
70.571.1
Auto19.1
Teleop40.6
End9.5
red by 1.6
70.00.6
62.762.2
Auto17.9
Teleop41.0
End8.5
Second
60.10.6
53.454.1
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 12.5
9136
#27
47.60.6
43.743.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.3
Third
3928
#45
39.00.6
34.234.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End7.4
blue by 5.7
321
#39
44.70.6
44.343.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned