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Red104
680632.6
928030.3
387534.9
Blue189
547266.5
69564.8
651050.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76192050100150250104189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#77
34.91.2
28.729.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
blue by 31.6
66.50.4
65.165.5
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
Second
6806
#63
32.61.2
29.230.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.9
End7.4
blue by 32.2
695
#16
64.80.4
64.364.7
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
Third
9280
#72
30.31.2
28.129.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 19.9
6510
#51
50.20.4
45.245.7
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned