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Red153
409123.3
642462.5
540657.0
Blue185
479558.0
427260.6
113841.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515450100200250153185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#12
62.51.6
62.864.4
Auto16.8
Teleop35.5
End8.1
red by 1.9
4272
#42
60.62.6
57.760.2
Auto15.6
Teleop36.0
End7.4
Second
5406
#40
57.01.6
53.254.8
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End8.2
blue by 1.0
4795
#15
58.02.6
52.154.6
Auto15.6
Teleop34.7
End7.7
Third
4091
#64
23.31.6
14.816.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.8
blue by 18.0
1138
#30
41.32.6
31.934.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned