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Red119
243845.5
339027.7
422631.2
Blue175
265960.9
236367.4
153350.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86171050100150200250119175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#46
45.51.5
41.643.1
Auto11.5
Teleop25.8
End8.1
blue by 22.0
2363
#17
67.41.7
63.665.3
Auto14.6
Teleop41.7
End8.2
Second
4226
#60
31.21.5
23.224.7
Auto9.0
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 29.7
60.91.7
51.152.8
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
Third
3390
#78
27.71.5
26.628.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
blue by 23.0
1533
#36
50.71.7
43.344.9
Auto14.8
Teleop26.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned