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Qual 632023 Daly Division
Red148
494663.7
147756.8
490760.7
Blue173
303552.4
207350.2
900037.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19113750100150250300148173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#13
63.71.7
62.8→61.1
Auto15.7
Teleop37.5
End8.7
red by 11.3
3035
#62
52.42.2
49.5→51.7
Auto10.2
Teleop31.3
End11.2
Second
4907
#35
60.71.7
64.5→62.8
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 10.5
2073
#28
50.22.2
49.5→51.7
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End6.7
Third
1477
#41
56.81.7
54.8→53.2
Auto14.0
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 19.0
9000
#37
37.82.2
35.8→38.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned