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Red142
913522.0
608153.6
331466.8
Blue127
178151.8
928733.1
244529.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141105050200250142127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.9
62.563.4
Auto15.3
Teleop42.5
End8.2
red by 15.0
1781
#20
51.81.2
48.349.6
Auto12.8
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Second
6081
#10
53.60.9
50.851.6
Auto16.1
Teleop28.7
End8.0
red by 20.5
9287
#54
33.11.2
30.131.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End8.8
Third
9135
#59
22.00.9
15.416.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End6.5
blue by 7.2
2445
#71
29.21.2
24.926.1
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned