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Red145
259051.1
364155.7
461357.0
Blue181
546065.5
173170.0
680632.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731570100200300400500145181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#31
57.01.0
60.058.9
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End6.9
blue by 13.1
70.01.7
62.263.9
Auto17.9
Teleop41.0
End8.5
Second
3641
#29
55.71.0
53.852.8
Auto12.5
Teleop32.5
End9.3
blue by 9.8
65.51.7
59.861.6
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
Third
2590
#48
51.11.0
48.947.9
Auto12.9
Teleop31.2
End6.5
red by 18.5
6806
#63
32.61.7
30.432.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned