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Red141
151137.0
929338.7
651050.2
Blue156
233337.7
171039.6
132571.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119154050100200250300141156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
#51
50.21.7
45.747.3
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End7.6
blue by 21.5
1325
#26
71.71.1
71.172.2
Auto19.1
Teleop40.6
End9.5
Second
9293
#56
38.71.7
36.037.6
Auto9.8
Teleop22.8
End6.2
blue by 0.9
1710
#70
39.61.1
35.436.5
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End5.3
Third
1511
#38
37.01.7
34.436.0
Auto10.5
Teleop21.1
End5.5
blue by 0.7
2333
#65
37.71.1
35.736.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned