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Red83
352715.4
226449.1
266730.5
Blue164
32144.7
87058.8
409123.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912705010015020083164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#61
49.10.7
48.347.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.1
blue by 9.6
870
#24
58.82.0
54.656.6
Auto14.6
Teleop34.4
End9.3
Second
2667
#57
30.50.7
27.827.2
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End5.7
blue by 14.2
321
#39
44.72.0
43.745.6
Auto14.9
Teleop23.4
End6.0
Third
3527
#76
15.40.7
11.711.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 8.0
4091
#64
23.32.0
16.418.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned