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Red166
494663.7
276768.2
20345.9
Blue128
236367.4
244529.2
103847.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914150100200250166128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.20.2
66.566.6
Auto19.0
Teleop39.9
End8.1
red by 0.8
2363
#17
67.40.6
65.364.7
Auto14.6
Teleop41.7
End8.2
Second
4946
#13
63.70.2
61.161.3
Auto15.7
Teleop37.5
End8.7
red by 16.1
1038
#55
47.60.6
46.445.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.9
End7.3
Third
203
#52
45.90.2
40.240.3
Auto13.5
Teleop25.9
End6.2
red by 16.7
2445
#71
29.20.6
26.125.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned