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Red152
248635.0
331466.8
303552.4
Blue172
113841.3
192247.3
265960.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16114350100200250152172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.1
63.463.6
Auto15.3
Teleop42.5
End8.2
red by 6.0
60.92.4
52.855.2
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
Second
3035
#62
52.40.1
51.751.8
Auto10.2
Teleop31.3
End11.2
red by 5.1
1922
#14
47.32.4
49.151.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End7.6
Third
2486
#67
35.00.1
34.134.2
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End7.2
blue by 6.3
1138
#30
41.32.4
34.536.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned