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Red163
913647.6
422631.2
547266.5
Blue148
10038.5
364759.4
929338.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14613780100120160180200220163148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.51.8
65.367.1
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
red by 7.1
3647
#21
59.40.9
55.956.8
Auto16.7
Teleop35.0
End6.5
Second
9136
#27
47.61.8
42.844.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.3
red by 8.9
9293
#56
38.70.9
37.638.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.8
End6.2
Third
4226
#60
31.21.8
27.329.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 7.3
100
#74
38.50.9
36.737.6
Auto12.8
Teleop17.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed