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Red135
153350.7
651050.2
572444.4
Blue106
494663.7
857530.5
249136.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413280100120160180200135106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#36
50.70.1
43.143.2
Auto14.8
Teleop26.4
End9.2
blue by 13.0
4946
#13
63.71.6
61.459.7
Auto15.7
Teleop37.5
End8.7
Second
6510
#51
50.20.1
47.547.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End7.6
red by 14.0
2491
#44
36.21.6
32.831.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Third
5724
#53
44.40.1
46.246.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End6.7
red by 13.9
8575
#73
30.51.6
31.229.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned