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Red126
339027.7
259051.1
244529.2
Blue140
23062.2
151137.0
69564.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9116650150200250126140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#48
51.12.1
48.050.1
Auto12.9
Teleop31.2
End6.5
blue by 13.7
695
#16
64.81.1
61.460.3
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
Second
2445
#71
29.22.1
20.722.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End5.8
blue by 33.0
230
#22
62.21.1
62.961.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.0
End8.1
Third
3390
#78
27.72.3
26.328.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
blue by 9.3
1511
#38
37.01.1
27.026.0
Auto10.5
Teleop21.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed