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Red151
674337.2
547255.6
5934.1
Blue151
17954.9
18046.9
190229.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130139100150200151151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.6
Auto13.9
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 0.8
179
#1
54.9
Auto16.2
Teleop29.3
End9.4
Second
6743
#18
37.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
blue by 9.7
180
#3
46.9
Auto14.0
Teleop25.0
End7.8
Third
59
#19
34.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.2
End8.2
red by 4.6
1902
#14
29.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.7
End7.7