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Red155
674337.2
547255.6
5934.1
Blue136
17954.9
18046.9
190229.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301396080100120160180200220155136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.7
54.555.2
Auto13.9
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 0.8
179
#1
54.90.1
54.454.5
Auto16.2
Teleop29.3
End9.4
Second
6743
#18
37.20.9
35.636.6
Auto10.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
blue by 9.7
180
#3
46.90.1
46.446.5
Auto14.0
Teleop25.0
End7.8
Third
59
#19
34.10.7
32.933.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.2
End8.2
red by 4.6
1902
#14
29.40.2
28.829.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.7
End7.7