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Qual 122023 Orlando Regional
Red55
40917.9
155717.6
38626.9
Blue34
805716.4
7919.1
401321.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635301001502002505534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#13
26.90.3
22.5→22.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.9
End5.4
red by 5.5
4013
#41
21.43.0
21.7→18.7
Auto2.4
Teleop12.6
End6.3
Second
1557
#46
17.60.3
18.5→18.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 1.5
79
#37
19.11.8
11.7→9.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End3.9
Third
4091
#40
7.90.3
16.6→16.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End2.2
blue by 8.6
8057
#50
16.43.0
17.8→14.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed