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Red2
279712.5
242515.8
587212.4
Blue85
672234.9
190229.4
541218.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47640204080100120285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2425
#28
15.84.9
16.511.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End5.4
blue by 19.1
34.93.0
22.825.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.7
End6.6
Second
2797
#54
12.54.9
14.19.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 16.9
1902
#14
29.43.0
20.323.3
Auto7.0
Teleop14.7
End7.7
Third
5872
#51
12.44.9
15.610.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End3.3
blue by 6.2
5412
#32
18.63.0
15.018.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned