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Red123
190230.2
514524.5
651047.5
Blue61
664732.2
877513.0
255628.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067705015012361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.8
42.244.0
Auto13.2
Teleop25.6
End8.6
red by 15.3
6647
#21
32.21.3
32.030.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.0
End9.3
Second
30.22.2
29.431.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 1.3
2556
#14
28.82.2
21.719.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End5.7
Third
5145
#15
24.52.0
24.426.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 11.4
8775
#30
13.02.2
22.420.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned