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Red56
215221.0
93009.6
743129.3
Blue57
8639.5
610713.6
459212.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63613040507080905657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7431
#19
29.30.1
25.425.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
blue by 10.1
86
#5
39.50.1
37.136.9
Auto14.1
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
2152
#16
21.00.1
17.016.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End7.2
red by 7.4
6107
#26
13.60.2
12.212.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Third
9300
#37
9.60.2
15.215.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 2.9
4592
#31
12.50.1
9.79.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed