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Red134
2131.7
647321.6
672251.3
Blue75
581613.3
743129.3
255628.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016420408012014016013475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.32.9
40.042.9
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
red by 21.9
7431
#19
29.30.7
25.426.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Second
21
#27
31.73.2
30.834.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.8
End7.0
red by 2.9
2556
#14
28.81.2
22.924.0
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End5.7
Third
6473
#10
21.62.9
19.522.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.4
End8.0
red by 8.4
5816
#35
13.30.7
16.116.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed