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Red121
38638.4
610713.6
23337.8
Blue79
878822.1
664732.2
877816.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807020406010012012179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#6
38.42.8
31.434.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End7.2
red by 6.2
6647
#21
32.20.1
30.730.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.0
End9.3
Second
233
#9
37.82.8
28.531.3
Auto8.8
Teleop21.3
End7.8
red by 15.7
8788
#12
22.10.2
20.220.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End6.0
Third
6107
#26
13.64.7
14.218.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End4.6
blue by 2.4
8778
#32
16.10.2
15.916.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned