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Red78
316418.1
406542.8
555731.9
Blue58
878822.1
647321.6
297321.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935601507858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
37.837.5
Auto15.0
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 20.7
8788
#12
22.10.1
18.418.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End6.0
Second
31.90.3
27.527.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End8.5
red by 10.3
6473
#10
21.60.1
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.4
End8.0
Third
3164
#25
18.10.5
17.617.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.7
End4.7
blue by 3.4
2973
#28
21.50.1
20.420.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed