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Red40
581613.3
459212.5
527619.4
Blue36
618413.1
541012.0
913515.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46572040801004036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5276
#22
19.41.6
18.016.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
red by 3.7
9135
#24
15.78.8
22.013.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.0
End6.9
Second
5816
#35
13.31.2
16.515.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 0.2
6184
#36
13.13.4
17.514.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End4.9
Third
4592
#31
12.51.0
10.29.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.5
red by 0.6
5410
#33
12.02.1
17.715.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed