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Red27
913515.7
878822.1
316418.1
Blue110
105625.2
255628.8
672251.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45110010015020027110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8788
#12
22.12.6
20.317.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End6.0
blue by 29.2
51.31.0
43.444.4
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
Second
3164
#25
18.12.6
17.214.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.7
End4.7
blue by 10.7
2556
#14
28.81.7
27.028.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End5.7
Third
9135
#24
15.72.6
12.610.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.0
End6.9
blue by 9.5
1056
#20
25.21.0
24.325.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned