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Red102
459212.5
541012.0
18056.2
Blue109
8639.5
297321.5
38638.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751014060120140160102109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
56.21.5
51.152.6
Auto16.2
Teleop30.0
End10.0
red by 16.7
86
#5
39.50.8
38.639.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
4592
#31
12.51.5
8.39.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.5
blue by 25.9
386
#6
38.40.8
34.435.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End7.2
Third
5410
#33
12.01.5
14.416.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End4.5
blue by 9.5
2973
#28
21.51.4
18.419.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned