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Red119
17948.6
10823.4
541017.7
Blue50
5914.9
1132.5
215216.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8374020406010012014016011950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
48.64.7
32.537.2
Auto16.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
red by 16.2
11
#9
32.52.3
23.321.0
Auto11.9
Teleop14.2
End6.4
Second
108
#12
23.44.7
22.627.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 7.1
2152
#24
16.32.3
19.917.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End5.1
Third
5410
#14
17.74.7
21.526.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End5.1
red by 2.8
59
#31
14.92.3
27.325.0
Auto1.2
Teleop8.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed