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Red105
740321.2
750016.3
69555.2
Blue62
238330.9
555719.4
765215.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5863020408010012014010562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#1
55.25.0
20.925.9
Auto14.4
Teleop32.3
End8.4
red by 24.3
30.92.0
25.123.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.0
Second
7403
#10
21.25.0
16.521.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End6.0
red by 1.8
5557
#15
19.42.0
17.815.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.9
Third
7500
#28
16.35.0
17.322.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End2.9
red by 1.3
7652
#20
15.12.0
15.513.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed