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Red21
584810.2
424011.1
813712.2
Blue51
881510.3
753819.1
363517.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35490204060801002151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8137
#11
12.20.4
12.612.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 7.0
19.10.1
18.218.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Second
4240
#13
11.10.4
11.511.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.5
End6.8
blue by 6.6
3635
#15
17.70.1
16.816.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End8.2
Third
5848
#12
10.20.4
10.610.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.1
End6.2
blue by 0.2
8815
#18
10.30.1
9.49.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End5.0