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Red52
334424.5
445913.8
470117.0
Blue61
926022.6
411224.2
747015.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58702040801001205261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.1
24.624.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End7.3
red by 0.3
24.20.3
24.724.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End7.9
Second
17.00.1
17.017.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End7.0
blue by 5.6
22.60.3
23.122.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Third
4459
#19
13.80.1
13.813.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End5.9
blue by 1.8
7470
#17
15.60.3
16.115.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End5.2