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Red90
590019.6
309116.4
886628.7
Blue72
688723.8
451621.0
445918.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67582040801001201409072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#12
28.71.2
27.228.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End3.4
red by 5.0
6887
#17
23.81.1
19.921.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Second
5900
#15
19.61.2
19.821.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End9.1
blue by 1.5
4516
#26
21.01.1
19.720.8
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End6.2
Third
3091
#25
16.41.2
14.515.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End6.0
blue by 2.2
4459
#20
18.61.1
15.917.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned