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Red61
745127.3
876114.4
929321.8
Blue65
670522.1
857715.1
602326.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6363586062646668706165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
25.024.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End7.7
red by 0.8
6023
#11
26.50.4
25.025.4
Auto11.5
Teleop7.8
End7.2
Second
9293
#21
21.80.2
19.419.2
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.2
blue by 0.3
6705
#14
22.10.4
19.820.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Third
8761
#23
14.40.2
14.714.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End6.6
blue by 0.7
8577
#16
15.10.4
14.014.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned