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Red127
926039.1
177152.2
164818.3
Blue124
281530.2
590026.1
297456.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112126050100150200127124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.3
52.253.6
Auto17.4
Teleop27.3
End6.7
blue by 4.8
56.90.6
58.958.3
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
9260
#31
39.11.3
37.839.1
Auto11.1
Teleop22.9
End5.2
red by 8.9
2815
#22
30.20.6
30.830.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
Third
1648
#48
18.31.3
17.018.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
blue by 7.7
5900
#46
26.10.6
26.726.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned