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Red143
110248.7
141452.8
175828.0
Blue145
334428.9
174646.8
177152.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123127050100150200250300350143145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#12
52.80.5
39.039.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
red by 0.6
52.21.1
51.452.5
Auto17.4
Teleop27.3
End6.7
Second
1102
#34
48.70.5
48.148.6
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
red by 2.0
1746
#25
46.81.1
38.639.7
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
Third
1758
#40
28.00.5
28.729.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 1.0
3344
#47
28.91.1
28.629.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned