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Red44
529324.7
128734.0
813716.8
Blue86
411229.4
873647.5
348930.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76930501502002504486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#21
34.02.0
34.032.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.6
End5.6
blue by 13.5
8736
#16
47.50.3
34.734.4
Auto12.5
Teleop25.3
End9.6
Second
5293
#42
24.72.0
24.522.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
blue by 5.6
3489
#33
30.30.3
28.828.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
Third
8137
#45
16.82.0
14.913.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End5.0
blue by 12.5
4112
#14
29.40.3
21.721.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned