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Red150
929335.4
141452.8
510937.6
Blue101
453338.5
164818.3
450951.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111036080120140160150101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#12
52.83.1
43.046.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
red by 1.5
51.30.2
47.547.7
Auto14.2
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
5109
#32
37.63.1
33.736.8
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5
blue by 0.9
4533
#24
38.50.2
35.735.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Third
35.43.1
26.629.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End5.9
red by 17.1
1648
#48
18.30.2
14.815.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned