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Red149
445152.4
634138.1
241524.3
Blue119
174646.8
671238.6
926039.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109116050150200149119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#10
52.41.9
50.352.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 5.6
1746
#25
46.80.4
39.640.0
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
Second
6341
#23
38.11.9
30.132.1
Auto12.7
Teleop16.2
End9.1
blue by 1.0
9260
#31
39.10.4
35.035.4
Auto11.1
Teleop22.9
End5.2
Third
2415
#43
24.31.9
22.724.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 14.3
6712
#27
38.60.4
33.533.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed