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Red82
334428.9
602326.1
168352.2
Blue111
128734.0
126151.2
753828.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114985015082111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.22.2
46.143.9
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
red by 1.0
1261
#13
51.20.8
42.142.9
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
Second
3344
#47
28.92.2
32.230.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End7.7
blue by 5.1
1287
#21
34.00.8
34.935.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.6
End5.6
Third
6023
#38
26.12.2
26.824.6
Auto11.8
Teleop8.5
End5.9
blue by 2.3
7538
#19
28.40.8
16.717.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned